From the Gallup Poll site:
More than 9 in 10 Americans still say "yes" when asked the basic question "Do you believe in God?"; this is down only slightly from the 1940s, when Gallup first asked this question. ... Despite the many changes that have rippled through American society over the last 6 ½ decades, belief in God as measured in this direct way has remained high and relatively stable. Gallup initially used this question wording in November 1944, when 96% said "yes." That percentage dropped to 94% in 1947, but increased to 98% in several Gallup surveys conducted in the 1950s and 1960s. Gallup stopped using this question format in the 1960s, before including it again in Gallup's May 5-8 survey this year.
But:
Belief in God drops below 90% among younger Americans, liberals, those living in the East, those with postgraduate educations, and political independents.
And:
However, past Gallup surveys have shown that not all Americans are absolutely certain in their beliefs about God. Given the ability to express doubts about their beliefs, the percentage who stick to a certain belief in God drops into the 70% to 80% range. Additionally, when Americans are given the option of saying they believe in a universal spirit or higher power instead of in "God," about 12% choose the former. Still, the May 2011 poll reveals that when given only the choice between believing and not believing in God, more than 9 in 10 Americans say they do believe.
Also noted is that at "some points in the 1950s, almost all Americans identified themselves with a particular religion. In recent years, more than 1 in 10 Americans tell survey interviewers they have no formal religious identity."
(The poll did not ask how many people believe that the New York Times is God or is a mouthpiece for God.)
It is rather easy to say, "I believe in God", just as it is easy to say, "Love is the answer", "Let's build a better world together", or "I prefer two shots of espresso in my latte", as these statements are open to a wide range of interpretation (except for the latter, as "two shots" and "latte" are fairly recognizable entities, even to the most non-dogmatic java junkie). Vague talk about "God" and "love" only goes so far, and that's not very far in the year 2011, when a fair number of people believe that they are God (or part of God) and that homosexual acts express love just as truly (if not more so) than the marital embrace.
That said, the numbers still surprise me in a good—if also cautious, qualified, and muted—way. After all, recent polls in Britain indicate that some 30% or more of Brits (perhaps even a majority) don't believe in God. This trend (in England) and some of the social, cultural, and religious reasons for it are examined in depth in Hugh McLeod's book, The Religious Crisis of the 1960s (Oxford, 2007), which I've been reading recently in bits and pieces. McLeod (who acknowledges his liberals views, but whose analysis and insights are usually quite excellent) traces the roots of the upheaval of the 1960s back to the Sixties: the 1860s. He notes that "since the 1860s and 1870s agnosticism had fashionable in sections of the intelligentia. The pioneers of this movement had attacked Christian doctrine while largely accepting Christian morality." By the 1920s, however, influential thinkers such as the atheist Bertrand Russell were attacking "convential morality" openly and with growing success. McLeod details how liberal Anglicanism was at the forefront of the eventual collapse of long-held beliefs about morality, God, and the importance of Christian faith. One aspect of this trend was that morality was increasingly seen as necessarily distinct—even radically separate—from the sphere of law:
The other important development at this time was the increasing respect by Anglican leaders for 'experts', such as doctors, psychiatrists, and sociologists, leading to the view that Christian ethics, rather than being autonomous, had to take account of the latest evidence coming from these other disciplines.
This set the stage for the acceptance by the Anglican hierarchy of contraception, which was increasingly believed to have a vital role in making marriages more happy and successful. McLeod places much emphasis, notably, on the role of changes in law (what he terms the "legislative revolution"), concuding that "the legal reforms of the 1960s and 1970s mark an important state in the decline in Christendom, and the move towards a pluraistic society, in which a range of contrasting moral standpoints have an accepted standing." But he notes that while the religious trends of the U.S. and western Europe were very similar from 1945 to 1972, those paths "began to diverge" around 1972. While church-going continued to plummet in Europe, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand, it stabilized in the U.S. There is much more to McLeod's analysis, which is quite illuminating, but he writes that the
differences between Europe and the United States are not so much therefore between the 'secularity' of one and the 'religiosity' of the other, as between different ways of being 'secular' and of being 'religious'. ... The biggest difference between the United States and most parts of western Europe, I have suggested, lies in the degree to which religion continues to be embedded in American popular culture, in spite of the secularization of many elite groups. A second difference is that professions of piety are required of American politicians in a way that seldom happens in Europe, and this probably has done more than anything else to shape perceptions of Americans as an unusually, and perhaps excessively, religious people.
What to make of all of this? I'm not entirely sure, but it seems fairly obvious that the polarization in the U.S. between "liberals" and "conservatives" has as much to do with religious beliefs as it does with policy, perhaps even much more so. In other words, it seems to me that many Americans inately recognize, however imperfectly, that politics are rooted in ethics, which is grounded in morality, which in turn comes from God (however vaguely "God" is defined), whereas those with a more secular or liberal bent see politics as more foundational, informing notions about religious practice and belief. Also, I think the growing trend of believing in God while refusing to be a member of a particular church or denomination will grow, as evidenced in part by the increased talk among many Protestants of a "post-denominational church" (as opposed, I suppose, the pre-denominational Church founded by Christ). And I think that the talk about "God" divorced from substantive doctrine and some sort of meaningful tradition leads fairly inevitably to either practical agnosticism/atheism or wholesale rejection of Christianity.
Thoughts?
For an interesting perspective from some eighty years ago or so, see this piece from Monsignor Ronald Knox:





































































































Atheism is faddish. Many of the younger people who responded that they did not believe in God will probably modify their positions as they mature. The trend toward non-identification with a particular institution or religion will probably continue, however.
This may sound unnecessarily offensive, but I suspect that we may see a spike in atheism in older people as the Boomers start to make elderly status, find their bodies and/or their circumstances breaking down, and realize that they cannot maintain youthful status indefinitely. I say this because I truly do believe that many in my age group have irrovecably put their hopes into this present world and don't really know how to hope in the next world. When their comfort goes, they will be bitter.
Posted by: David K. Monroe | Friday, June 03, 2011 at 02:19 PM
What about the new springtime?
Posted by: Claire | Friday, June 03, 2011 at 02:40 PM
David: Good observations. Thanks!
"Claire": What about Matthew 16:18?
Posted by: Carl E. Olson | Friday, June 03, 2011 at 02:50 PM
Carl, along the same lines I notice a weird phenomenon regarding the recent death of Dr. Kervorkian. On another (not religion related) board I post to, there's an "RIP Dr. Kervorkian" thread, and to read it, you'd think he was a canonized saint. It's all accolades about his "life well-lived" and "compassion" and "forward thinking" and how he's set us on the right path to end suffering. And the worst part of it is, I cannot even answer it in language that these people will understand, because the ideas that physical life is not the only life and that comitting suicide puts your eternal soul in danger are concepts that have absolutely no resonance for them. Kervorkian helped hurting people stop hurting, therefore he was the best of men. Secularism creates a kind of tone-deafness, not just to morality but to humanity itself.
Posted by: David K. Monroe | Friday, June 03, 2011 at 05:08 PM
What is the secular equivalent of "santo subito"? There are dozens of commenters at the three-page New York Times obituary for this egomaniacal violator of the Hippocratic Oath would apparently would like to know, so they can start chanting.
Posted by: Charles E Flynn | Friday, June 03, 2011 at 05:31 PM
What about it?
Posted by: Claire | Friday, June 03, 2011 at 06:55 PM
Yes, the errors of Russia - atheism and communism - continue to spread. And they'll continue as long as the popes fail to do as Our Lady of Fatima demanded: to consecrate Russia.
Posted by: Francis | Friday, June 03, 2011 at 07:32 PM
Loved that post you linked to on the Faith Forward blog, Carl. With any luck their wish may come true! Seriously, just an understanding of simple physics as a comparative principle and an understanding of human nature and it is not difficult to see how a movement based on fragmentation would eventually fragment right down to its smallest constituent parts, in this case the individual "Christian."
And haven't we seen the rise of the "Jesus and me" spirituality also among those who still talk about Christ as the head of their church, unlike that blog post that failed to mention Christ even once in discussing the future of non-Catholic Christian denominations.
A connectivist church allows each member, congregation, house church, ministry and chaplaincy to be a node in a distributed network of mutuality.
Is that not a wonderful statement? If you can plow through the mush it seems that this "connectivist" church envisioned by the author is the ultimate in religious subjectivism and doctrinal relativism, with a slight nod to those who think like you do. Church shopping on the internet! What an amazing idea! You could even do doctrinal shopping; you know, cut right to the chase and find those who can't accept the same part of God's Law that you can't accept.
Having dabbled a little in the New Age spiritualities it appears to me that once decomposed to its individual subjectivist parts, into a spiritually relativist soup, this new church could have very little barrier to any of the many New Age spiritualities, and could easily blend with such thinking as well.
Have you ever wondered, Carl, about the anti-Christ and how it could be that he would be able to fool a very large portion of the world into thinking he actually is the Christ? (I think that is what prophecy indicates to us.) Well perhaps this is how it happens. In such an environment as the blogger describes, a man who could do miracles and astonish the world, a world ripe to be plucked, could very well collect a multitude of such spiritual drifters, by then longing for a leader, someone they could believe in. Just a thought.
Posted by: LJ | Saturday, June 04, 2011 at 01:20 AM
LJ,
I hope that while you were dabbling in New Age spiritualities you did not receive, as did a good friend of mine, an alarming late night telephone call from a dabbling friend informing you of this emergency: "A rock needs healing." My friend is once again Anglican, and is the only person I know who has purchased a kneeler for home use.
Posted by: Charles E Flynn | Saturday, June 04, 2011 at 07:20 PM
"Atheism is faddish." Very much so; it is a part of human nature to pray. The children of atheists are Wiccans, and the children of Wiccans will be Muslim if we don't do a better job with evangelization. That will require us to accept the scandal of particularity and the scandal of the Cross; we'll have to convince our neighbors and children of much more than an airy, generalized, whatever-you-imagine-Him-to-be God.
Posted by: Howard | Monday, June 06, 2011 at 07:09 AM
Charles E Flynn,
I was spared the pleasure of New Age house calls having wisely focused my attention on the philosophical, concentrating on the theology department, in a manner of speaking, with less focus on the pastoral. I had in mind the most expeditious advance through the stage of "bard" as possible, finding any sojourn there somewhat offensive to the poetic sensibilities.
That however, raises an unresolved question. When does one-word-per-line poetry become a grocery list? I confess I have never been able to discover the answer. It has not shaken my Catholic faith however, as I am sure you will be relieved to know.
Posted by: LJ | Monday, June 06, 2011 at 10:30 AM
I think all this post-denominational and non-denominational formation is nonsense. In and of itself, that very formation is a denomination with the very structures and governing practices of any other structured religion. It is just another Protestant church disguised as a new hip hop modern culture. The very nature of protestant philosophy is To branch off and form new practices based on the current popular fad of thinking at the time. The Catholic church has nothing to worry about. It has stood the test of time through every other reformation and it will do so again.
Posted by: Anne | Monday, June 06, 2011 at 02:38 PM